Pedro Sanchez closes the political course seeing confirmed its worst forecasts. If the general elections were held now, the Popular Party would be the most voted, a long way from the PSOE. a 30.4% of voters I would choose the PP ballot, versus 24.7% that I would bet on the socialists, according to the last Data10 survey for OKDIARIO. This means that those of Pablo Casado would see their representation in Congress grow by 42 deputies, would achieve 133 and sign a comfortable absolute majority with Vox (50 seats and 15.3% intention to vote).
The survey shows that Spaniards no longer believe Pedro Sánchez’s propaganda machine and strongly punish his management at the polls. The entire marketing campaign into which Sánchez has turned the vaccination against Covid is not capable of making voters forget the result of his decisions: 4,588,132 cases and 82,006 officially recognized deaths (the real figure far exceeds 100,000). The socialist president is a victim of the handling of the health and economic crisis and also of his own ambition to stay in La Moncloa, hostage to his pacts with separatism.
Neither the profound remodeling of last July – new ‘party’ ministers to try to reactivate the PSOE and significant ‘purges’ such as that of guru Iván Redondo – have practical effects. Meanwhile, the PP makes its opposition work profitable and consolidates the pulse in the face of a general election.
Sánchez loses 21 seats
The result is dramatic for the PSOE. Sanchez 21 seats are left compared to the elections of November 10, 2019 and he barely gets 99. The sums do not add up to the socialist and his entourage of pro-independence and pro-ETA members is no longer enough to keep him in La Moncloa.
The new’ We can, with Ione Belarra at the helm, also shows the enormous discontent among the left. His commitment to radical policies, his clashes in the coalition and the decaffeinated balance of his ministries translates into a fall of 16 seats in just a year and a half, staying at 19. We can give space to its most direct competitor, Más Madrid, and the formation led by Íñigo Errejón wins 5 seats, up to 8.
The third force in Congress would be Vox, which maintains its representation more or less intact (loses 2 deputies in relation to 2019), while Citizens he is unable to trace back minimally. The latest polls are critical for Inés Arrimadas’s party, which would lose nine seats and only win one. That is, yours.
Citizens would thus have the same seats as minority parties such as the CUP, Coalición Canaria, BNG, Teruel Existe or the Regionalist Party of Cantabria.
For their part, the separatists barely get electoral revenue from Sánchez’s gifts. ERC add a deputy (up to 14) and Together, another (up to 9). The same as he PNV, which would have 7 seats.
The Data10 survey thus confirms, for another week, the turnaround on the political scene. A change that became more evident after the overwhelming victory of Isabel Díaz Ayuso in the Community of Madrid and that has been consolidating poll after poll.
Without arguments and desperate, Sánchez now presents himself as a “victim” of a “destructive” opposition, as he described it last week in his triumphant balance of the political course.
The president has gone on vacation with the pandemic triggered again – especially worrying is the case of residences -, the electricity bill again at all-time highs and still with 3,416,498 Spaniards in the queues of unemployment.
On his return from his summer vacation, the socialist awaits a turbulent autumn. In the hands of separatism, Sánchez will once again meet the self-styled ‘dialogue table’ with the Catalan Generalitat to explore new assignments. The so-called “reunion agenda” already adds important items, such as 1,700 million for the expansion of the El Prat airport. Investments that do not dissuade the independentists from their true objective: “Amnesty and self-determination.”
The negotiation of the General State Budgets will suppose another front for the coalition. Podemos has already warned that “first-order” priorities remain to be met, such as repealing the labor reform, raising the minimum interprofessional salary (SMI) and approving the new Housing Law with rent regulation. Issues that make the socialists tremendously uncomfortable. And all, under the threat of a general strike.
In the coming months, Sánchez will also have to face the new fiscal policy, committed to Brussels, and which is a historic ‘hatchet’ for the pocket of the Spanish.
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